Blog

Insights and guides for better financial decisions. Page 1 of 6

Value Averaging Won the Lost Decade by $264K. It Quietly Demanded a $75K Single Month to Deliver.
Edleson's Value Averaging always hits the target. The honest question is what it costs you to get there. We ran six real historical windows — Lost Decade, Post-GFC Bull, dotcom crash — through the calculator. VA's edge is real. So is its $75K-month cash drag.
investingvalue-averagingDCA
Retire 7 Years Earlier in Lisbon: the FIRE-Abroad Math
$1.95M for US retirement vs $1.0M for Lisbon. Same lifestyle, half the savings target. The COL × healthcare double-discount that makes 'retire abroad' the highest-leverage FIRE move tech workers don't take.
fireretire-abroadgeo-arbitrage
6 Months in Lisbon: Keep the NYC Apartment or Break the Lease?
Three options, three answers depending on duration. Sublet wins for 3-6 month trips with strong recovery; lease break wins past 9 months; keep-empty almost never wins. The math, the legality wildcards, and the re-entry trap.
digital-nomadremote-workrent
Your 12-Month Sabbatical Costs $950K, Not $60K (the Lifetime Math)
Most sabbatical calculators show cash drawdown and stop. The honest math is 15× higher because foregone earnings compound to retirement. We modeled four common scenarios — three are cheaper than you think; one creates a NET positive lifetime impact.
sabbaticalcareer-breakfire
I Was 11 Days Short of FEIE — Here's What That Cost Me
FEIE excludes $130K of foreign income from US federal tax — but the 330-day Physical Presence rule is binary. Miss by even 1 day and you owe full federal tax on the entire amount. The math, the trap, and the workarounds people don't talk about.
digital-nomadexpat-taxfeie
Your Company Wants -15% to Move Remote: the Break-Even Math (It's 35%)
Companies offer 10-25% pay cuts on relocation, but break-even on a typical SF→Austin move is closer to 35-40%. The gap between 'company offer' and 'true break-even' is your savings rate boost. Math, scenarios, and the negotiation lever most engineers miss.
remote-workgeo-arbitragetech-employee
$25K MRR and Two Founders Still Can't Pay Themselves: the Math
Most indie founders pick salary by feel. The result is usually wrong in one of two directions: too high (no runway buffer when growth stalls) or too low (defeats the point of building). The static math gives you the floor and ceiling — picking inside the range is the actual decision.
indie-hackersaasfounder-finance
$200K SF to Austin: $36K/Year Savings Boost, $510K Over 10 Years
We ran the cost-of-living math for the typical SF tech worker considering Austin. The savings rate jumps from 25% to 38%. The 10-year wealth gap is $510K. The honesty correction: real moves usually capture 70-80% of theoretical savings, not 100%.
geo-arbitrageremote-worktech-employee
$80K AMT Bill on a $0 Stock: How ISO Exercise Goes Wrong
Marcus exercised 12,000 ISOs at $7 strike when FMV was $42. The 2022 IPO peaked, then crashed 80% by tax day. He owed $80K of AMT on a position now worth less than the strike. Here's the exercise math, the exit options, and what the calculator should have shown before he wired.
isoamtequity
The +35% Job Hop That's Actually +12% in Year 1 (the Cliff Tax)
Recruiters quote total comp as if year 1 looks like year 4. It doesn't. The 12-month equity cliff at the new job means a +35% offer becomes +12% in year 1 cash terms — and the 5-year EV depends on whether you survive the gap.
careernegotiationtech-employee
CAC Payback > 18 Months Means You Can't Bootstrap (Even With $5K MRR)
LTV/CAC ≥ 3 is the hype number. CAC payback is the one that decides if you can grow without funding. We modeled $5K MRR through six unit-economic profiles — three are sustainable, three quietly burn cash even on healthy LTV/CAC.
saasindie-hackerunit-economics
Airbnb $39K Gross vs Long-Term $25K Gross: Net Story Is Much Closer
Sarah's condo: Airbnb at 62% occupancy nets $15.5K. Long-term tenant nets $18.3K. Airbnb wins decisively only at 70%+ occupancy plus $200+ nightly rate plus self-management. The 'Airbnb prints money' framing assumes conditions most owners can't sustain.
real estateAirbnbrental income
AWS $300 vs PMP $4,500 vs Generic $1,200: Which Certifications Actually Pay Back
AWS Solutions Architect: $300 fee + 80 study hours, ~$7K/year salary lift, 3-month payback. PMP: $4,500 + 200 hours, $9K/year lift, 7-month payback. Generic 'leadership' cert: $1,200 + 40 hours, $0 measurable lift. The cert matters more than the badge.
learningcareercertification
Real Cost to Raise a Child: $310K Base + $80K Childcare + $100-300K College
USDA inflation-adjusted: $310K from birth to 18. Add $80K of childcare (heaviest in years 0-5). Add $100-300K for college. Realistic US total: $400K-$700K per child. Child #2 typically runs 60-70% of #1.
familybudgetingfinancial planning
$30/Month AWS Bill Becomes $480 the Week Your Side Project Goes Viral (the Egress Trap)
Egress at $0.09/GB is the line that destroys hobbyist AWS bills. 5 TB of viral traffic is $450. We modeled the typical SaaS stack from solo project to growth, and the egress line is what surprises every founder.
awscloudsaas